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Real Clear Politics Polling as of October 24th

Monday, October 24
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Rasmussen Reports Clinton 41, Trump 43, Johnson 5, Stein 3 Trump +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 45, Trump 44 Clinton +1
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 41, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 4 Tie
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 42, Trump 42 Tie
North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson Monmouth Clinton 47, Trump 46, Johnson 4 Clinton +1
North Carolina: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson PPP (D) Clinton 47, Trump 44, Johnson 4 Clinton +3

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Polling Data (from Real Clear Politics)

Poll Date Sample MoE
Clinton (D)
Trump (R)
Spread
RCP Average 8/18 – 8/30 46.7 41.4 Clinton +5.3
Economist/YouGov 8/27 – 8/29 1119 RV 4.0 47 42 Clinton +5
PPP (D) 8/26 – 8/28 881 LV 3.3 48 43 Clinton +5
Monmouth 8/25 – 8/28 689 LV 3.7 49 42 Clinton +7
LA Times/USC 8/24 – 8/30 2576 LV 4.5 42 45 Trump +3
NBC News/SM 8/22 – 8/28 24104 RV 1.0 48 42 Clinton +6
Reuters/Ipsos 8/20 – 8/24 1049 LV 3.5 42 35 Clinton +7
Quinnipiac 8/18 – 8/24 1498 LV 2.5 51 41 Clinton +10

More General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Polling Data

Battle for The White House – Electoral Breakdown

Electorial MapBATTLE FOR THE WHITE HOUSE
CLICK HERE FOR ELECTORAL BREAKDOWN BY STATES

From Liberty News: Cruz and Carson Debate

Liberty News Network

Fellow Patriots,

As most of you know the media is stuck in a debate over whether or not the Cruz campaign was dishonest in Iowa. It’s a subject we wish didn’t exist. It’s one we hate we all have to be sidetracked by. But it’s news everyone is talking about so we figured we would give you a special report with our stories on the topic.

– First up is the full CNN segment that broke the story about Ben Carson headed to Florida for a few days off. Click here to see that segment.

– Second, watch the segment with Congressman Steve King explaining how it was CNN, not Cruz or Rubio who broke the story. Click here for that segment.

Click here to see our full recap of what went down surrounding the Carson dispute.

– And finally, is Ted Cruz a natural born citizen? An elections board says yes!

GOP Poll Numbers Reshuffle Following Paris Attack Read

2016 Election Central
Donald Trump has experienced a bump in his poll numbers following the terrorist attack in Paris while Ben Carson is witnessing a precipitous drop stemming from the same event. The trend is showing up in national polls as well as in New Hampshire where Carson has dropped from second place into single digits, well behind Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz who have taken the second and third spots respectively.

Fox News released the results of its latest New Hampshire primary poll on Wednesday, and it doesn’t look good for Republican presidential hopeful Ben Carson.

The poll, the first conducted since Friday’s attacks in Paris, finds Donald Trump leading the GOP field with 27% of Republican primary voters. Marco Rubio came in second with 13%, with Ted Cruz trailing behind him at 11%.

Everyone else is in single digits.

Jeb Bush and Ben Carson received 9% each. Ohio Gov. John Kasich received 7% and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie received 6%.

What conclusions one can draw from the Fox poll are uncertain. Fifty-five percent of GOP primary voters surveyed said that they could change their mind before the primary.

The Fox News poll was conducted from November 15 to 17 by telephone and live interviewers from Anderson Robbins Research and Shaw and Co. Research.

The results of the poll mirror that of another poll released Wednesday, one conducted by Boston NPR station WBUR. In that poll, also surveying Republican primary voters in New Hampshire, Trump received 23% of Republican primary voters. Rubio tied with Carson for second place with 13%.

Though Carson remains one of the most favorable candidates in the GOP race, Carson’s favorability rating in New Hampshire has notably dipped.

Some analysts are saying that as the race winds into December and January, the “outsiders” like Trump and Carson will start to fade as GOP voters begin to seriously consider Commander-in-Chief qualities. That bug appears to be biting Carson though Trump seems unfazed at this point, perhaps even benefiting from it. Likewise, Rubio and Cruz are also getting a bounce as Carson is knocked down and Bush supporters seem to desert to Rubio.

With Jindal’s exit and the recent terrorist attack, the race is going through a realignment of sorts. This topic will be front and center at the next Republican debate on December 15.

Ted Cruz: How about talking about the substantive issues people care about

 

John Kasich Thinks the CNBC Debate Was Awesome

Leon H. Wolf (Diary)  | 

Every Republican in the world – and many liberal Democrats – agree that the CNBC debate was terrible and that the moderators blew it. Reince Priebus called it a crap sandwich on live TV and said that CNBC would never host a Republican debate again. Anderson Cooper called it “poorly produced” and said that the moderators did such a terrible job it impugned the entire media. The moderators were so outrageously bad that even Bill Maher was cheering on Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) when he blasted them for the sideshow spectacle questions they were asking. The debate was such a debacle that accounts are circulating that the candidates are contemplating a coup to completely remove the debates from the RNC’s control, even though Priebus himself has blasted CNBC’s handling of the debates.

Every Republican in the world – and many liberal Democrats – agree that the CNBC debate was terrible and that the moderators blew it. Reince Priebus called it a crap sandwich on live TV and said that CNBC would never host a Republican debate again. Anderson Cooper called it “poorly produced” and said that the moderators did such a terrible job it impugned the entire media. The moderators were so outrageously bad that even Bill Maher was cheering on Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 100% when he blasted them for the sideshow spectacle questions they were asking. The debate was such a debacle that accounts are circulating that the candidates are contemplating a coup to completely remove the debates from the RNC’s control, even though Priebus himself has blasted CNBC’s handling of the debates.

Against this tide of universal opinion that the debates sucked and the moderators were partisan hacks whose sole goal was to make Republican candidates look bad stands one man. That one man is Ohio Governor John Kasich (via the MRC):

 

Reporter: What did you think about the mainstream media’s questions tonight? What did you think about the moderators?

Kasich: I thought they did a good job. I’m very pleased with, I had time to speak and talk about the fantasy land and also be able to talk about my plans and my programs, the things that I know we can do together to get the budget balanced and create jobs and fix this country. So I’m very appreciative of how they did their job tonight. It wasn’t a circus like we’ve had in the past. It was well done, well controlled, a lot of good questions, and hopefully this will be what we’ll see in the future.

CONTINUE READING HERE…

CNBC Republican Polling Results from Empower Texans

cnbcdebate-poll.png

CNBC POLLING RESULTS FROM
EMPOWER TEXANS/TEXAS SCORECARD

Total Voters:  1,093

Ted Cruz –  51%, 557 Votes

Donald Trump – 18%, 199 Votes

Marco Rubio – 13%, 139 Votes

Ben Carson – 9%, 102 Votes

Rand Paul – 4%, 41 Votes

Carly Fiorina – 3%, 33 Votes

Chris Christi – 1%, 14 Votes

Mike Huckabee – 0%, 4 Votes

Jeb Bush – 0%, 4 Votes

John Kasich – 0%, 2 Votes

CLICK HERE TO VIEW THIS POLL ONLINE.

CNBC Republican Debate Analysis

Gary Bauer

A very good analysis of last night’s CNBC Republican Debate from Gary Bauer, End of Day Report:

Cruz & Rubio Score Big

A few minutes into last’s night debate, I developed a sense of dread. The focus was supposed to be economics, but I am very familiar with John Harwood’s left-wing views. I assumed he would try to skewer the candidates, and he did.

For a while, I was worried about the amount of ammunition being provided to the Democrat National Committee. But my concerns quickly disappeared as one candidate after another rose to the occasion and put the left-wing “moderators” in their place.

Here’s my take on the key moments of last night’s Republican debate.

JEB BUSH — The pressure was on Bush last night to take his game to a new level. I don’t think he did that. I’m not alone. Consider these post-debate headlines:

“The Agony Of Jeb Bush.”
“Jeb Bush’s Campaign On Life Support After Rough Debate.”
“Jeb Bush’s Comeback Strategy Backfires At GOP Debate.”
“The Beginning Of The End For Jeb.”
“For Jeb’s Supporters, It Was A Night Of Crushing Disappointment.”
“Jeb’s Dead: Adios Amigo.”

It’s not that Bush made big gaffes, he just didn’t stand out. Viewers didn’t hear or see anything that would lead them to think that Bush is the best candidate for the job. Commentators right and left are saying this morning that Bush reinforced the sense that he is not a very good candidate. It’s worth remembering that the last time he ran for office was 2002 — more than 10 years ago.

BEN CARSON — I like Dr. Carson a lot. He is a wonderful man who has hit a nerve with evangelical Christians, especially evangelical women. But I don’t think he helped himself last night.

For example, how is it that during an economic debate he was unable to tell us what his proposed flat tax rate would be? Later on, it sounded as if he was proposing a consumption tax too — in addition to a flat tax on income — when he talked about how much money would be generated from “a 15 percent tax on your gross domestic product.”

I am also hearing more concerns about whether a candidate with such a low key demeanor will be capable of stopping Hillary or, if he is elected, defeating the ingrained Washington establishment that plays hardball. Dr. Carson is a very thoughtful man, but politics is a contact sport.

CHRIS CHRISTIE — New Jersey Governor Chris Christie knocked it out of the park when he took on an incredibly dumb question about government regulation of fantasy football.

“Carl, are we really talking about getting government involved in fantasy football?” Christie asked. “We have $19 trillion in debt. We have people out of work. We have ISIS and al Qaeda attacking us. And we’re talking about fantasy football? Can we stop?” (Watch it here.)

Unfortunately, it has to be noted that this was a missed opportunity for Governor Bush. He was asked the question first, a gift on a silver platter. Yet he attempted to answer it by talking about government regulations on day trading and insider information. Gov. Christie handled it perfectly.

TED CRUZ — Senator Cruz had THE moment of the debate when he denounced the moderators for trying to create a “cage match” between the candidates. He wisely did not complain about the questions posed to him, but he called out the moderators for the absurd questions posed to fellow candidates. (Watch it here.) Cruz’s response set a record with focus group viewers.

Cruz seemed more engaging, natural and spontaneous. And as I suggested yesterday, he even opened the debate with a joke, showing his sense of humor. There was never any doubt about his ideology, but he appears to be improving as a candidate.

MARCO RUBIO — I wrote yesterday that Senator Rubio would likely be confronted on his Senate attendance record. The Bush campaign had spent the last several days stoking the issue, believing the media would take the bait. They did and Rubio was ready.

He noted that the media were not at all concerned when Democrats who were running for president regularly missed votes. But Bush, hoping for a breakthrough moment, jumped in and went on the attack. It backfired. Rubio swatted him away almost effortlessly.

He also had one of the best moments of the night when he compared the left-wing media to a Democrat Super PAC and then accused Hillary Clinton of being a liar. (Watch it here.)

DONALD TRUMP — The former GOP front runner held his own, but did not dominate the show. He has definitely moderated his demeanor and tone, perhaps in an attempt to appear more statesman-like. He did not attack Ben Carson, as was expected. Instead, Trump went after Gov. John Kasich, who had gone on a tirade the day before, distorting the views of other candidates on immigration and Medicare.

The Biggest Loser

Without any question, the biggest loser of the night was CNBC and moderators John Harwood, Becky Quick and Carl Quintanilla.

For example, after opening the debate by asking all the candidates to name their biggest weakness, John Harwood kicked off the questioning with this gem to Donald Trump: “Let’s be honest, is this a comic book version of a presidential campaign?”

Immediately following the debate, Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus blasted CNBC, calling the performance of the moderators “extremely disappointing,” adding “CNBC should be ashamed of how this debate was handled.”

Sean Hannity said, “This is going to go down in history as a really bad night for the media.”

However, former Attorney General Ed Meese isn’t letting GOP leaders off the hook. Meese called the debate a “verbal shooting gallery set up by CNBC.” He said, “Whoever selected the moderators should be fired and the RNC leaders who allowed it should be condemned.”

Citizens United Releases Presidential Poll Results

Citizens Unitedwww.CitizensUnited.com
STANDING FOR CONSTITUTIONAL PRINCIPLES

Washington, DC — Over the past five days, Citizens United surveyed a cross-section of our membership nationwide to get a sense of where they stand on 2016 at this early stage.

From Friday, September 18th to Wednesday, September 23rd, nearly 5,000 participants took the online poll indicating their first and second choices for President.

“The results are clear. Grassroots conservatives are overwhelmingly rejecting status-quo politicians. A shocking 78 percent of our members polled want a new leader willing to shake-up a broken system,” said David N. Bossie, President of Citizens United.

Of the nearly 5,000 members polled, the results are as follows:

First Choice for President

Mr. Donald Trump – 30.8%

Senator Ted Cruz – 18.5%

Dr. Ben Carson – 17.4%

Mrs. Carly Fiorina – 11.3%

Senator Marco Rubio – 8.2%

Go to CitizensUnited.org for entire polling results…